Hey look we're on Manifold's home page! Every name in the description is famous now!

Can someone make the Inverse Tumbles Hedge Fund? I will be your first investor.

@Joshua could you explain?

@Henry38hw Create an account which follows Tumbles around and strategically takes his worst limit orders. Fund this with managrams from investors, who are entitled to 80% of the profits. Create a market for "Will the Inverse Tumbles Hedge Fund be profitable one year from now?" to advertise.

@Joshua If someone creates an Inverse Tumbles fund, I will invest at least 10k mana (within a few days; I'd need to come up with it)

This implies Tumbles survives and does not brick his account.

@Quroe we could pay Tumbles a small rate to tell us how he would bet on various new major markets

@Joshua @Robincvgr I might make a bot that always bets against Tumbles. No guarantees on any returns though.

@nikki this feels exploitable

Holding out for the 999x mana deal paid back in 2099 with lots of ancient Herman Cain memes

With the week coming to a close I am announcing the end of the DOUBLE YOUR MANA promotion. The response was nothing short of astounding! More than 30 people took advantage of the incredible offer, adding nearly 500k mana to the Tumbles Financial Complex debt ledger. Wow!

But the thing about the Tumbles Financial Complex is that there's always a better deal deal right around the corner. And the thing about business is that.... sex sells! Those two truisms are being combined in our next stupendous promotion:

For a limited time, I will SEX YOUR MANA

I will.... sex the mana??? That's right! And by this, I of course mean SEXTUPLE!

Like last week, all you need to do is send me an amount of mana between 1k and 50k. But this time I will be returning SIX TIMES that amount on 4/20 next year (April 20, 2026).

Sex is good! All the cool kids are doing it. So if you're cool, it's time to
SEX
YOUR
MANA

@Tumbles 500% APR is wild

@Tumbles What are you even gonna do with the mana you're seeking that you expect to be able to sextuple it?

@Robincvgr I will accrue reliable returns and collect compounding value from my judicious judgement.

See I'm actually super good at this I just kept getting unlucky before

@Tumbles wow

Would you be willing to accept a smaller loan of 100 mana, if necessary at a slightly lower interest rate than advertised? I don't want to lend more than I'm comfortable losing

@TheAllMemeingEye I'm afraid not, a debt that small is liable to accidentally trigger this market simply by getting lost in my couch cushions.

I think with your risk tolerance you might feel more at home going across the street to give loans:

@Tumbles maybe I can up it to 169 mana, but with my very limited knowledge base it gets frustratingly hard to make amounts much more than that back that in trading, and thus it's borderline distressing to lose such amounts, which with your profit track record and the staff member that bailed you out last time being gone, it seems quite likely I'd lose it. I'm willing to go out of my way to remind you to pay it back before the deadline if that helps reduce risk of triggering this market.

Also I'm not sure the competing venue is better lol, looks dodgy af and chum bucket tier gross

@TheAllMemeingEye Alright just for you, how about a 169 mana loan, and I'll pay you back 269 in a month

@Tumbles haha I was about to complain that the interest rate is even lower than the one I rejected previously but then I realised the timeframes are way different, so I'll go develop a theory of loan periods, do some exponential function calculations to determine whether I'm being ripped off, and report back asap 🫡