🌐 Will Google's Gemini Ultra LLM Be Released To The Public Before March 31st 2024?
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resolved Feb 8
Resolved
YES

🌐 Will Google's Gemini Ultra LLM Be Released To The Public Before March 31st 2024?

RESOLVES YES:

  • If an announcement of release is made by Alphabet/Google and the use is available to the public through Google products, including search, ads, and Bard, etc.

  • There MUST be a product/app/extension offered that someone can use on desktop, web, or mobile to be able to confirm proof of the release. This could be myself, or another Manifold user.

  • Free or Paid counts, as long as it fits the criteria of Gemini Ultra.

(Ie., much like when ChatGPT was released on web first, than mobile app stores. Either of similar would resolve YES.)

RESOLVES NO:

  • If an announcement of release is made by Alphabet/Google and the use is not available to the public and only available to Corporate Customers, Developers, Enterprise, Partners, etc.

NOTES:

  • The Close Time Is The Deadline.

  • I may defer judgement to a third party individual of my choosing should anything be determined to be unclear.

CLARIFICATIONS:

  • 1/30/2024 : Needs To Be Available To US Customers at a minimum.


CONTEXT
Gemini: A Family of Highly Capable Multimodal Models


DISCLAIMER

  • I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE

  • DO NOT TRADE OFF OF UNCONFIRMED MARKET NEWS OR NEWS YOU MAY NOT UNDERSTAND. I AM NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR MISUNDERSTANDING IF YOU DO NOT ASK FOR CLARIFICATION FIRST.

  • If Any Clarification Is Needed, I May Temporarily Close The Market To Make Clarifying Statements & Than Re-Open ; Feel Free To Ask For Clarification Through Messages Rather Than Making A Comment. Comments are not a clarification unless posted into the description.


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RESOLVES YES

predicted YES

If it was only accessible for everyone through Cloud/Vertex, would it be resolved yes or no? "not available to the public and only available to Corporate Customers, Developers, Enterprise, Partners, etc." - Cloud/Vertex is accessible for everyone

@Lion Could/Vertex is a google product, right? So that would be yes as it states in the description "If an announcement of release is made by Alphabet/Google and the use is available to the public through Google products, including search, ads, and Bard, etc."

predicted YES

@SirCryptomind Yes, I'm asking because of the developer clausel: "not available to the public and only available to Corporate Customers, Developers, Enterprise, Partners, etc."

In my eyes it doesn't check the box, because everyone can register there, but I want to clearify. Some might argue that it is only for developers, etc.

@Lion Maybe I am mixed up what you are asking, not sure.

What box does what not check?

predicted YES

@SirCryptomind This is part of the description:

RESOLVES NO:

  • If an announcement of release is made by Alphabet/Google and the use is not available to the public and only available to Corporate Customers, Developers, Enterprise, Partners, etc.

predicted YES

https://cloud.google.com/?hl=en

It says "Build with the cloud platform designed for developers and AI"

But not exclusive for devevelopers.

Every person (owning a credit card) is eligible to use it.

@Lion AHHH yea I misunderstood. I believe cloud.google is intended for Dev but open to all.

This is where Alphabet/Google get stupid with naming. because they use cloud in 2 ways across over 100 different products lol. I will look into it and clarify.


Right now Cloud doesn't show Bard as a product on wiki, Bard has its own wiki page though.

Cloud is the umbrella than you have Google Cloud Products under the Cloud umbrella which GCP is search, email, docs, etc.

I can see how it can be a tricky interpretation, but I honestly think they will stick with it being under the GoogleAi division instead of Google Cloud.

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