Will Google have the best LLM by EOY 2024?
Standard
20
Ṁ4863resolved Aug 1
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution source: https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard
If Google deploys a new model in 2023 that might or might not qualify, but it is not yet ranked on the leaderboard at year's end due to time required for evaluation, I will hold off on resolving until that has happened until a maximum of February 1.
(Same clarification as the related market: If Google does take the top spot or becomes clearly best, this resolves to YES on the spot, this is by EOY not 'at' EOY.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
Gemini 2.0 probably coming soon. Bet yes
Related questions
Related questions
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2024 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Will China be competitive in the LLM race compared to OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google by end of 2024?
13% chance
Will Google have a better LLM than OpenAI by 2025?
31% chance
At EOY 2024, who will have the best LLM?
Which company will have the best LLM by the end of 2024?
Will OpenAI have the best LLM in 2024?
59% chance
What will be true of Anthropic's best LLM by EOY 2025?
What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Who will be ahead in the AI/LLM war by the end of 2024?