Will GPT-5 be released before March 31st, 2026?
23
closes 2026
85%
chance

Stuff like beta access, alpha access, early access, etc. counts.

Screenshots/announcements/demos without anyone outside OpenAI able to access them will not count.
Any release before the end of March 31st (PST) counts (API, Playground only, etc.).

Release must be publicly announced, rumors or anecdotes don't count.
Resolution based on my best judgment.

Related markets

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When will GPT-5 be released? (2025)30%
GPT-5 by 2025?56%
When will GPT5 be announced?
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Will GPT-4 be public by 10/1?51%
Will GPT-4's max context window increase by the end of 2023?60%