What will be Biden's largest polling advantage in a state that he loses?
25
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Nov 8
21%
Biden wins every state that he leads
42%
Biden loses a state where he leads by 0-2%
20%
Biden loses a state where he leads by 2-4%
9%
Biden loses a state where he leads by 4-6%
3%
Biden loses a state where he leads by 6-8%
6%
Biden loses a state where he leads by >8%

The polling average that I use will include RFK and other third party candidates. It may be RCP or 538 or some other reliable source that includes such polls.

To restate the title, this will resolve exclusively to the largest bucket where Biden loses. If biden loses a state where he leads by 3 and also a state where he leads by 7, it will resolve only to 6-8% bucket.

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What's the final poll date? The day prior to the election? Day-of polling? Exit polling?

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