If Kamala Harris loses [state] will she win the 2024 presidential election?
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21
Ṁ5789
resolved Nov 10
Resolved
NO
Pennsylvania
Resolved
NO
Wisconsin
Resolved
NO
Michigan
Resolved
NO
Nevada
Resolved
NO
Arizona
Resolved
NO
Georgia
Resolved
NO
North Carolina

For each option:

  • If Kamala loses the state and wins the presidential election it resolves to YES

  • If Kamala loses the state and loses the presidential election it resolves to NO

  • If Kamala does not lose the state it resolves to N/A

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All states have been called now (eg https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president.html), so everything resolves NO.

I recommend renaming this market to reference Harris, just to avoid confusion.

Good idea, thanks

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