If Biden loses [state] will he win the 2024 presidential election?
13
97
1k
2025
58%
Nevada
55%
Georgia
55%
North Carolina
49%
Arizona
44%
Michigan
39%
Wisconsin
27%
Pennsylvania

For each option:

  • If Biden loses the state and wins the presidential election it resolves to YES

  • If Biden loses the state and loses the presidential election it resolves to NO

  • If Biden does not lose the state it resolves to N/A

I am using "Biden" to refer to the Democratic nominee for simplicity's sake. If Biden is not the Democratic nominee, this market will refer to whoever ends up being the 2024 Democratic presidential candidate.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by: