Please feel free to add responses!

If Biden loses the general election, then in mid-late November 2024, I will post a poll to manifold with the title “What is the main reason Biden lost”. The poll will have corresponding options to the answers to this question when it closes. Each answer to this question will resolve to the percentage it receives in the poll (both should end up summing to 100) I will extend the market and the poll date if the election is not resolved.

If he wins, or if he drops out before becoming the nominee, or dies/becomes incapacitated before the election after becoming the nominee, I will ask a mod to resolve N/A