Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
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"The Biden administration is shooting for 50% of all new car sales to be electric vehicles by 2030."
Have to do some thinking, but my current perogrative is that we'll need more than a single month of 50% for the question to resolve "Yes." If for two consecutive quarters before 2030 we have > 50% this question will resolve yes. "if the last month of 2029 is >50% and that trend continues into 2030, the the question will also resolve "Yes."
Update: This market will remain with 2030 as the deadline. There are just too many positions to change.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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