Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before July 1st 2024?
8
55
170
Jul 5
6%
chance

Resolves to yes if a nuclear weapon is detonated before July 1st 2024 (and after October 2023).

Yield must be at least 0.05 kilotons of TNT.

Includes tests.

Image credits: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Plumbbob_Boltzmann_001.jpg

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