Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before the end of 2024?
30
99
Ṁ1k
Dec 31
28%
chance

Whether a nuclear weapon (tests are included) is detonated after the start of 2024 and before the end of 2024

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Identical and slightly older market here for those who may be interested:

https://manifold.markets/Pykess/will-a-nuclear-warhead-be-detonated?r=UHlrZXNz