Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before the end of 2024?
29
95
Ṁ1.4KṀ590
Dec 31
15%
chance
1D
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1M
ALL
Whether a nuclear weapon (tests are included) is detonated after the start of 2024 and before the end of 2024
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Identical and slightly older market here for those who may be interested:
https://manifold.markets/Pykess/will-a-nuclear-warhead-be-detonated?r=UHlrZXNz
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