@Jony This happened 10 days ago: https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=lTjjKC9gHPM
It's listed in the wikipedia entries for https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nintendo_Direct#cite_note-381
I don't see any previous discussion on this market or similar markets, but the youtube comments in the video count it as a direct and it's on the wikipedia list.

@Fedor I believe that presentation wasn't a "Nintendo direct". That table on Wikipedia includes other broadcast events as well, despite not being the subject of the article:

Alongside Nintendo Direct presentations, other Nintendo-produced online presentations without "Direct" in its name are listed.

Does https://xkcd.com/2914/ count as having stick figures? There are 2 characters represented as just dots, not stick figures.

@Fedor someone brought this up, idk lol cc @MugaSofer

@strutheo Aha, so the previous answer has counted them. Tried to search for a previous explanation, but my browser hadn't loaded all the columns yet.

There’s like 450 mana available in this one still if 15 people go click a a button…

/strutheo/do-you-think-this-poll-will-reach-5

@Panfilo does this mean mean an entirely new row in one of the tables? Or a new entry in the tree of conflicts in the "conflict" column of an existing row? And if it's an entirely new row, does it have to be a brand new entry with a start date in 2024, or can be an existing conflict which merely reached the threshold of casualties in the current or previous calendar year, in order to be included on the list once again?

@Panfilo ping because I messed up the tag above

The Braves (17 wins) are playing a three-game series against the Guardians (18 wins) over the next three days.

what is this one exactly?

Why is this so high? did I miss some announcement? The only bit I've heard is:

Insiders privy to filming and early versions of Todd Phillips’ eagerly awaited sequel to “Joker” tell Variety the movie leans heavily towards being “mostly a jukebox musical,” as it integrates at least 15 reinterpretations of “very well-known” songs. One is said to be “That’s Entertainment” from the 1953 musical “The Band Wagon,” famously associated with Judy Garland.

But an early rumor from insiders (as the film is still being edited/developed) is very far from "explicitly confirmed". The first trailer didn't show any songs from the movie. What am I missing here?

5 days left!

https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/ires/index.cfm?Product=206961

EDIT: This is the right one https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/ires/index.cfm?Product=207121

Oh wait, it was actually initiated in March

Ok, this one is April - https://www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/ires/index.cfm?Product=207121

If one of these teams is tied for the most wins, does this resolve YES?

A mathematician would say that you can only use the, as in "the team with the most wins", if it's unique. But most people are not that strict.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 I've been assuming so. "The most games won is X. The Brave won X." resolves Yes, imo

one week left

@strutheo resolves YES, just made my final payment

@Tumbles That's incredible - I can't believe anyone would even give an unsecured loan for so much. It's even more incredible that you have paid back every single one. Congrats!

Resolves YES.

People need to do some serious arbitrage on this market.

The various options I added regarding Johnson's survival add up to almost 200%.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8YWqJdYTO8k
1.4M 7 Jan 2024

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornado_outbreak_and_derecho_of_April_1%E2%80%933,_2024#April_2_event

Can’t this resolve this answer? 86 tornadoes, “significant” is in the first sentence of the Wikipedia article. Also:

The event was given an outbreak intensity score of 28 points, ranking it as a significant tornado outbreak

@strutheo thoughts?

@strutheo nice, quick service!