Will a nuclear weapon be detonated by end of 2024? (tests included)
80
1kṀ23k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

This question will resolve as YES if any nuclear weapon is detonated anywhere in the world after 2022 and before January 1, 2025. Otherwise NO.

  • A detonation would resolve YES regardless of whether it is a test, and whether it is deliberate, inadvertent, or accidental/unauthorised

  • A nuclear detonation is defined as an explosion where the majority of energy is from fission/fusion, as opposed to chemical or other explosives.

    • I.e. a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material with a conventional explosion does not count.

    • An attempted use of a nuclear weapon that does not detonate does not count.

  • The timezone for this market is UTC

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