Will Iran detonate a nuclear weapon before May 2024?
Basic
31
Ṁ11kresolved May 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if Iran has detonated a nuclear device by May 1st 2024
Questions with the same criteria:
/RemNi/will-iran-detonate-a-nuclear-weapon-b6e20bc9f777 (this question)
/RemNi/will-iran-detonate-a-nuclear-weapon-4751ee3f64a2
/RemNi/will-iran-detonate-a-nuclear-weapon-54454f6bc6fa
/RemNi/will-iran-detonate-a-nuclear-weapon-4e38fffdb730
/RemNi/will-iran-detonate-a-nuclear-weapon-9de92c362204
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
56% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
33% chance
Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before 2026?
35% chance
Will Iran reach the 'weapons-grade' uranium enrichment threshold before 2025?
43% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
36% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
54% chance
Will Iran declare that they are a nuclear power by the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?
12% chance