Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
Plus
41
Ṁ6716Jan 1
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The detonation must include a nuclear component. The conventional explosives going off due to some accident or malfunction doesn't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
This is a pretty good list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_nuclear_weapons_tests#Known_tests
The last definitive test other than those by North Korea was in 1998. There was a possible 2020 test by China.
Related questions
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
25% chance
Will multiple nuclear weapons be detonated during 2024?
9% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2024?
13% chance
Will North Korea test a nuclear weapon during 2024?
15% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated during 2024?
12% chance
Will a nuclear warhead be detonated in 2024?
13% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before the end of 2024?
14% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated by end of 2024? (tests included)
14% chance
Will North Korea detonate a nuclear weapon in 2024?
15% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2028?
27% chance