Is GPT-4 (0613) more capable than GPT-4 (0314)?
5
53
Ṁ108Ṁ130
Jul 1
71%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve using the average over the four best benchmark comparisons, published in academic papers or preprint, at the time of resolution (e.g. four benchmarks: MATH, MMLU, HumanEval, SWAG).
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will the performance jump from GPT4->GPT5 be less than the one from GPT3->GPT4?
75% chance
Will Google's Gemini beat GPT4 in terms of capabilities on release?
22% chance
Will GPT-5 have fewer parameters than GPT-4? (1500M subsidy)
15% chance
GPT4 or better model available for download by EOY 2024?
95% chance
Will there be a GPT-4.5 model before GPT-5 is released?
22% chance
How many parameters will GPT-4 have?
Is GPT-4-turbo (1106-preview) more capable than GPT-4 (0613)?
78% chance
Is GPT-4 best? (Thru 2025)
52% chance
Will Llama 3 400B be better than GPT-4?
50% chance
Will GPT-4 (or better) still be publicly available at the end of 2024?
89% chance