How many parameters will GPT-4 have?
58
3.3kṀ33kresolved May 12
100%94%
>1600
0.0%Other
0.0%
300
0.1%
350-400
0.0%
401-450
0.0%
451-500
0.0%
501-550
0.0%
551-600
0.0%
601-700
0.0%
701-800
0.0%
801-1000
0.2%
1001-1200
0.2%
1201-1400
0.6%
1401-1600
3%
801-1600
0.4%
301-349 or <300
0.1%
1200B exactly
1.0%
1000B-1400B
0.1%
Yes
GPT-3 has a staggering 175 BILLION parameters
To put it into context
Hugging face's 176 Billion parameter model took 3.5 months on 384 top-of-the-line GPUs to train...
GPT-3 is also over 2 years old.
Nov 17, 1:56am: How many parameters with GPT-4 have? → How many parameters will GPT-4 have?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2,055 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,939 | |
| 3 | Ṁ780 | |
| 4 | Ṁ768 | |
| 5 | Ṁ632 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will GPT-5 have fewer parameters than GPT-4? (1500M subsidy)
17% chance
Will GPT-5 have over 10 trillion parameters?
56% chance
Will GPT-5 have over 100 trillion parameters?
14% chance
Will GPT-5 have over 1 trillion parameters?
87% chance
What will be true about GPT-5?
What will GPT-5's context size be? (2025)
GPT-4 #5: Will GPT-4 be a dense model?
1% chance
In yottaFLOPs (10^24), how much compute will GPT-4 be trained with?
22
Will GPT-4 escape?
6% chance