Is GPT-4-turbo (1106-preview) more capable than GPT-4 (0613)?
9
190Ṁ402resolved Jul 22
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve using the average over the four best benchmark comparisons, published in academic papers or preprint, at the time of resolution (e.g. four benchmarks: MATH, MMLU, HumanEval, SWAG).
Will resolve to NA if there are no benchmark comparisons between the 1106-preview and 0613.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ91 | |
| 2 | Ṁ17 | |
| 3 | Ṁ15 | |
| 4 | Ṁ5 | |
| 5 | Ṁ5 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the performance jump from GPT4->GPT5 be less than the one from GPT3->GPT4?
70% chance
On LMSys, what will be the difference between the top model and GPT-4-1106 on Jan 1 2026?
Will GPT-5 have fewer parameters than GPT-4? (1500M subsidy)
17% chance
Will GPT-5 be released incrementally as GPT4.x for different checkpoints from the training run?
4% chance
What is the main reason behind GPT-4o speed improvement relative to GPT-4 base model?
Is GPT-4.5 the base model for o3?
5% chance