Will GPT-4 (or better) still be publicly available at the end of 2024?
4
47
140
2025
89%
chance

Resolves YES if, on December 31, 2024, OpenAI (or another organization that inherits its IP) is still providing public API access to GPT-4 (or a more powerful LLM). (If the service is down on that day due to a transient technical problem, it still counts.)

Resolves NO if GPT-4 becomes inaccessible before that date due to OpenAI shutting down (without its IP being passed on and used), choosing to withdraw access, or being forced by regulatory/legal action to withdraw access.

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