Will any of the (in)famous AI markets resolve in favour of AI hype?
25
1kṀ22k
resolved Jul 25
Resolved
YES

This resolves YES if any of the top 10 most popular AI markets resolve YES. Here they are:

https://manifold.markets/MatthewBarnett/will-ai-be-a-major-topic-during-the

https://manifold.markets/PeterHro%C5%A1%C5%A1o/will-ai-outcompete-best-humans-in-c-c91105439712

https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-ai-be-at-least-as-big

https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat

https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener

https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-d8733b2114a8

https://manifold.markets/JamesDillard/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th

https://manifold.markets/dreev/will-ai-pass-the-turing-test-by-202

https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-the-leftright-culture-war-come

https://manifold.markets/Nostradamnedus/will-a-text-prompt-based-ai-music-g

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bought Ṁ500 YES

Resolves YES. https://manifold.markets/Austin/will-an-ai-get-gold-on-any-internat

@mods

bought Ṁ400 YES

Seems like >80%, given the IMO stuff.

predictedNO

The AIs are the ones betting no and the humans are the ones betting yes. Really makes you think…

predictedNO

Acceleration is my only friend ;-;

@ItsMe "Nothing ever happens" - but ten nothings? Nah.

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