Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before Thanksgiving?

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resolved Nov 24

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NO

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Unclear why today's missile launch is getting such limited coverage but the North Korean rhetoric has ratcheted up significantly.

predictedNO

Thanksgiving in the US is November 24.

Arbitrage opportunities:

10/31, 19%

11/8 (midterms), 24%

11/24 (Thanksgiving), 12%

12/10 (1/64 chance), 29%

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