Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before Thanksgiving?
94
11
1.9K
resolved Nov 24
Resolved
NO

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bought Ṁ100 of YES

Unclear why today's missile launch is getting such limited coverage but the North Korean rhetoric has ratcheted up significantly.

bought Ṁ0 of YES
predicted NO

Thanksgiving in the US is November 24.

Arbitrage opportunities:

10/31, 19%

11/8 (midterms), 24%

11/24 (Thanksgiving), 12%

12/10 (1/64 chance), 29%