Will Trump tweet before a nuclear detonation occurs? | Manifold Markets

closes Feb 1, 2025

Twitter Nuclear Risk

Will Trump tweet before a nuclear detonation occurs?

50%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

YES if Trump tweets

NO if nuclear detonation

N/A if neither

Sort by:

yaboi69bought Ṁ10 of NO

Is this related to Destinygg? I’ll appreciate untagging

BTEbought Ṁ10 of YES

Kanye is already back.

I love this.

Finn Hambly bought Ṁ20 YES from 49% to 50%

Nicola Wilson sold Ṁ339 YES from 65% to 49%

Stan Pinsent sold Ṁ75 YES from 67% to 65%

Nicola Wilson sold Ṁ3 YES from 68% to 67%

Finn Hambly bought Ṁ50 YES from 66% to 68%

Finn Hambly sold Ṁ12 NO from 65% to 66%

Stan Pinsent sold Ṁ66 YES from 67% to 65%

Steven sold Ṁ28 NO from 65% to 67%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ63/Ṁ63 YES at 65%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ79/Ṁ100 YES at 63% (cancelled)

Nicola Wilson sold Ṁ190 YES from 67% to 60%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ100 NO at 67% (cancelled)

Stan Pinsent bought Ṁ100 YES from 64% to 68%

Stan Pinsent bought Ṁ40 YES from 63% to 64%

Sophia bought Ṁ20 YES from 62% to 63%

Karl Voskuil bought Ṁ10 YES at 62%

Floffinou bought Ṁ50 YES from 59% to 62%

🦔 sold Ṁ4 NO at 59%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ51/Ṁ100 YES at 59% (cancelled)

Tom Shlomi sold Ṁ268 YES from 68% to 56%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ27/Ṁ100 YES at 68% (cancelled)

Adrian sold Ṁ110 NO from 59% to 67%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ25/Ṁ100 YES at 59% (cancelled)

Martin Randall sold Ṁ10 NO from 57% to 58%

Coafos sold Ṁ39 YES from 59% to 57%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ15/Ṁ100 YES at 59% (cancelled)

yaboi69 bought Ṁ5 YES at 58%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ27/Ṁ100 YES at 58% (cancelled)

Steven bought Ṁ50 YES from 54% to 57%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 54%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 61%

Nicola Wilson bought Ṁ500 YES from 42% to 68%

Tom Shlomi sold Ṁ32 YES from 44% to 42%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ24/Ṁ100 YES at 44% (cancelled)

Tom Shlomi sold Ṁ158 YES from 53% to 42%

Joe C sold Ṁ22 NO from 51% to 53%

David Davidson sold Ṁ103 NO from 45% to 51%

Steven bought Ṁ50 NO from 48% to 45%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ9/Ṁ100 NO at 48% (cancelled)

David Davidson bought Ṁ100 NO from 55% to 49%

David Davidson bought Ṁ100 NO from 62% to 55%

Steven bought Ṁ10 NO from 63% to 62%

Steven bought Ṁ20 NO from 65% to 63%

🦔 sold Ṁ3 NO from 64% to 65%

Jako bought Ṁ10 YES at 64%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ30/Ṁ100 YES at 64% (cancelled)

David Davidson bought Ṁ100 NO from 71% to 63%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ7 NO at 71%

Tom Shlomi bought Ṁ276 YES from 60% to 71%

A Somewhat Rude Parakeet bought Ṁ10 NO at 60%