The following 10 markets cover a range of scenarios involving nuclear weapons tests and detonations in general. Taken as a whole, they seem to suggest some highly correlated risks; this market is an attempt to more directly assess the correlation between them. How many will resolve positively?
/itsTomekK/will-a-nuclear-weapon-be-detonated-41dfff460cab
/Duncn/will-any-countries-that-are-not-cur-c04d620e5504
/milanw/will-any-country-other-than-north-k
/jack/will-north-korea-conduct-a-nuclear-36f06f22f954
/BTE/will-russia-conduct-a-nuclear-weapo
/BTE/will-iran-conduct-a-nuclear-weapons
/BTE/will-china-test-a-nuclear-weapon-be
/BTE/will-there-be-an-accidental-explosi
/BTE/will-an-above-ground-nuclear-test-t-74cfd7f5603e
/AndyMartin/will-a-nuclear-weapon-be-launched-i-015e44ed91f5
This is a derivative market; it will resolve exactly according to the resolution of the underlying markets. A resolution of N/A is not a "positive" resolution.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ158 | |
| 2 | Ṁ32 | |
| 3 | Ṁ10 | |
| 4 | Ṁ3 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |