Will a nuclear weapon be launched in combat by the end of 2023?
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2.5kṀ160kresolved Jan 1
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Market resolves to YES in the event that a nuclear weapon is confirmed to be launched or detonated for combat, non-testing purposes before Jan 1, 2024, anywhere in the world.
Sep 29, 6:02pm: "launched" was changed to "launched or detonated" - see this comment for rationale and how to be refunded if you feel misled.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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