AndyMartin avatar
closes Jan 1, 2024
Nuclear Risk
Will a nuclear weapon be launched in combat by the end of 2023?
5%
chance
Sort by:
IsaacKing avatar
SneakySly avatar
SneakySly
is predicting NO at 12%
jack avatar
Jack
is predicting NO at 11% +Ṁ250
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
is predicting YES at 11%
SG avatar
S G
is predicting YES at 12%
WilliamEhlhardt avatar
William Ehlhardt
bought Ṁ10 of YES
Treldman avatar
Treldman
is predicting YES at 12%
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
bought Ṁ100 of YES
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
is predicting NO at 11%
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
is predicting NO at 11%
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
is predicting YES at 11%
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
is predicting NO at 11%
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
is predicting NO at 11%
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
is predicting YES at 11%
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
is predicting NO at 11%
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
is predicting YES at 11%
Treldman avatar
Treldman
is predicting YES at 11%
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
is predicting NO at 12%
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
is predicting YES at 12%
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
is predicting YES at 12%
jack avatar
Jack
is predicting NO at 12% +Ṁ250
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
is predicting NO at 12%
jack avatar
Jack
is predicting NO at 10%
LivInTheLookingGlass avatar
Olivia
is predicting NO at 10%
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
is predicting YES at 10%
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
is predicting YES at 11%
SG avatar
S G
bought Ṁ28 of YES
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
is predicting YES at 8%
AnselFreniere avatar
Ansel Freniere
is predicting YES at 10%
AnselFreniere avatar
Ansel Freniere
is predicting YES at 10%
jack avatar
Jack
is predicting NO at 10% +Ṁ250
ManifoldMarkets avatar
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
is predicting NO at 6%
jack avatar
Jack
is predicting NO at 10%
IsaacKing avatar
Gigacasting avatar
Gigacasting
is predicting NO at 8%
Gigacasting avatar
Gigacasting
is predicting NO at 8%
MP avatar
MP
is predicting NO at 8%
MP avatar
MP
is predicting NO at 8%
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
bought Ṁ10 of YES
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
is predicting YES at 9%
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
is predicting YES at 10%
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
is predicting YES at 8%
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
bought Ṁ0 of NO
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
is predicting NO at 9%
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
is predicting YES at 9%
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
is predicting NO at 9%
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
is predicting NO at 9%
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
is predicting YES at 9%
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
bought Ṁ1,000 of NO
AndyMartin avatar
Andy Martin
bought Ṁ160 of YES
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
bought Ṁ0 of NO
AndrewHartman avatar
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
is predicting NO at 7%
IsaacKing avatar
MartinRandall avatar
Martin Randall
bought Ṁ1,000 of NO