Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2023?
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How would this type of test affect the resolution, if it were Russian instead of American? It wouldn't count as a nuclear weapon and therefore the test wouldn't count as a nuclear weapons test, right?
Would resolution criteria of https://manifold.markets/jack/will-a-nuclear-weapon-be-detonated-af0ba4d66245 suit this market? (Except perhaps excluding non-deliberate detonations.)
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