When did Covid end?
11
60
520
resolved May 1
51%35%
Will never end
49%34%
March 2022
14%Other
12%
January 2023
0.0%
After May 1, 2023
5%
September 2021

tl;dr: A decidedly vague and open-ended question. Is the pandemic over? At what point did life feel "normal" again?

Market Overview: Propose and bet on predictions in month-year format (Example answers: June 2023, April 2022, November 2020, etc.). If you believe the pandemic is not yet over, propose a future time.

Why this Question?: On January 30, 2023, the director general of the World Health Organization announced that Covid-19 remains a public health emergency of international concern (source). That said, many facets of daily life have returned to their pre-pandemic normal, and numerous world governments have winded down COVID programs and resourcing. So, is the pandemic over? And, if so, when did life seemingly return to "normal"?

This market will resolve on 5/1/2023.

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Having finally (at the end of March 2023) gotten COVID and being completely flattened for two weeks by it... it's still ongoing. The major thing still missing from my normal life is the local traditional dance stuff - which is an outrageous risk, everyone touches and breathes on everyone - but there have been some efforts to restart that with massive testing efforts.

For my personal experience, it ended in March 2022, when it stopped being a concern for anything in my daily life (except for putting on masks in german public transport)

bought Ṁ20 of N/A

IIRC, my experience is roughly the following:

  • in-person in 2019-2020 until the pandemic hit in March 2020

  • fully remote in 2020-2021, except towards the spring of 2021

  • mostly in person again(?) in 2021-2022

  • fully in-person in 2022-2023

However since SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19 is still around, I think that it's fairly likely that people will consider the COVID-19 pandemic to have never ended.