By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
Plus
13
Ṁ13642100
1D
1W
1M
ALL
36%
By end of 2050
14%
By end of 2030
3%
By end of 2025
Resolved
NOBy end of July 2024
Resolved
NOBy end of 2024
Each option resolves YES if https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory resolves to either YES or NO by that date. Otherwise it resolves NO (if it didn't resolve before that date, or if it resolved to any value other than YES or NO).
(In case the resolution status changes, then this question resolves based on the final resolution date)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
When will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?
36% chance
If the COVID lab leak market resolves NO, will it be controversial?
48% chance
Will this market resolve?
97% chance
If the COVID lab leak market resolves YES, will it be controversial?
21% chance
When will Isaac King's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market resolve?
Covid a lab leak?
53% chance
When will we know that COVID-19 came from a laboratory? [Unlinked Multiple Choice Derivative of Existing Market]
If Covid is a lab leak, which lab did it leak from?
Will LLMs estimate a probability over 40% that the origin of COVID was a lab leak in 2034?
34% chance