(M20000 subsidy) covid restrictions to return?
90
927
Ṁ190KṀ21K
2025
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will only resolve true if the governor of one or more of New York, California or Illinois issues an order closing nonessential in-person businesses while citing a coronavirus-driven public health emergency. Event must happen between now and the end of 2024 to resolve true.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
@VitorBosshard i would like this market to include more intermediate tail risks than just circumstances around an uncontested order so i think yes but am open to arguments i suppose
Related questions
Will a COVID-19 variant cause a new scare and intermittent lockdowns in multiple countries by end 2025?
20% chance
Will there be a new pandemic resulting in international travel restrictions by the end of 2026?
22% chance
Will at least one EU country reintroduce COVID-19 lockdowns between the posting of this question and the end of 2024?
14% chance
When "Will Masking Return"? (widespread mask mandates in the USA)
Will there be any more lockdowns due to COVID-19 in the US before 2025?
3% chance
Will there be any more lockdowns due to COVID-19 in New Zealand before 2025?
13% chance
Will there be any more lockdowns due to COVID-19 in the UK before 2025?
2% chance
Will the USA reintroduce COVID-19 lockdowns between the posting of this question and the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will the UK reinstate any COVID-related entry requirements before 2025?
11% chance
Will Denmark reinstate any COVID-related entry requirements before 2025?
9% chance