Scandal markets for EA related things will unfairly tank someone's reputation before 2024, or otherwise seem (ETA: significantly) negative EV in retrospect because of drama caused or changed perception of EA.
84
1.7kṀ31k
resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO


e.g https://manifold.markets/group/scandal-markets

This is likely just going to be up to my personal take, but I welcome others' takes on how to think about this. I won't resolve NO if it's basically neutral but a tiny bit negative.

Note: This market will resolve ambiguously if I am confident that someone takes a large position and the attempts to use other markets to cause problems.

Close date updated to 2023-12-31 11:59 pm

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