The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030. | Manifold

The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.

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Something we'd pay $10 million to avert.

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"Progressive" and "rationalist" aren't opposed. You might be thinking of —

progressive vs. libertarian
progressive vs. reactionary
progressives & libertarians vs. reactionaries & neofascists
rationalist vs. post-rationalist
rationalist vs. mysterian
something else

What exactly is meant by "progressive" in contrast to rationalist?

Who's "we"?

This needs much clearer resolution criteria. You can make the argument this has already happened.

Can you name any examples of a split you'd pay 10 million to avert?

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Will there be significant protests calling for AI rights before 2030?

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