Will Vitalik Buterin be found guilty of fraud before 2024? | Manifold

Will Vitalik Buterin be found guilty of fraud before 2024?

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resolved Nov 14

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This resolves "Yes" if the named individual is found guilty in court.

If there is no court judgement but I am 99% confident that they have done fraud (eg credible accusations with evidence from credible sources). There will be an open survey with at least the options "Yes" and "Not enough information" . If 70% of people answer "Yes" then this market will resolve "Yes". This survey cannot be repeated for 3 months.

If the market doesn't resolve "Yes", it resolves "No" at close date.

There are markets about a range of public figures here: https://manifold.markets/group/scandal-markets

Nov 14, 2:20pm: ~~Will Vitalik Buterin be responsible for a fraud scandal before 2024?~~ → Will Vitalik Buterin be found guilty of fraud before 2024?

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predicted NO

@IsaacKing I was getting monstered on Twitter for it and I think it was harming the reputation of EA. Poor timing by me.

That's unfortunate. Started a discussion on this here.

Alright, I went ahead and did it. Don't post about this on Twitter. :)

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