EA will have a noticeably less sexually libertine culture in 2025 for the 90th percentile EA, than before 2023, looking back.
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If we have poll resolutions by then it will resolve to that. Otherwise I will use my best judgement.

This question will resolve "yes" if for the 90th percentile "most EA" EA there is a significantly less sex positive culture. eg EA parties are unacceptable, there is much less sex between EAs, there is a social or job penalty for being pro sex.

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How are you planning on resolving this? Based on vibes?

Is this focused on SF EA's, West Coast EA's, US EA's, etc?

predicts YES

@RobertCousineau Everywhere

@NathanpmYoung how do you plan to assess this? I know I have a very poor understanding of the social life of a committed EA outside of Seattle (where I am) and SF (which I read about).

This is about Effective Altruism right? Not Electronic Arts I assume...

predicts NO

@OrlandoMoreno Depends what you're into. (yes)

I sort of anticipate some pendulum swing toward being cautious and mindful of potential for abuse, but I don't anticipate parties being unacceptable, or there being a social or job penalty for being pro-sex. "much less sex between EAs" is harder to assess; I have no idea how much there is now, or how one would measure a change.

so I voted "no", because the bar you're describing seems relatively high to me. I may be projecting from what I think should happen to what I think will happen but honestly seems to be my best guess.

Worth noting that under current trends there will likely be a lot of growth of EA In more sexually conservative cultures. The % of EA that is in SF’s particularly sexually liberal culture will only go down.

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