Will a sex scandal negatively affect the reputation of AI xrisk in the next five years?
55
1kṀ27282028
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'm specifically asking about a prominent AI researcher (or someone similar) engaging in some problematic sexual activity. Must be publicized in a major news outlet. Resolves subjectively, though I'll avoid betting in the market myself.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?
24% chance
If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?
32% chance
In 2030, will we think FLI's 6 month pause open letter helped or harmed our AI x-risk chances?
Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?
78% chance
Will xAI's acquisition of X be challenged ?
33% chance
Will there be a fraud/criminal scandal that harms EA reputation as much as the FTX crash harmed EA reputation, before 2030?
13% chance
In January 2026, how publicly salient will AI deepfakes/media be, vs AI labor impact, vs AI catastrophic risks?
Will some U.S. investment bankers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
15% chance
Will xAI receive preferential treatment* by the Trump administration in 2025?
40% chance
Will EITHER US AI regulation or AI misuse (by user) cause significant crash/decline in a tech (AI) stock price in 2024?
7% chance