Feel free to convince me and try and make money.

State of the discussion:

• Powerful people should be held to account (95%)

• There should be a way to profit (even to charity) for people coordinating information (80%)

• Markets on this have the right incentives (80%)

• It's easy to damage reputations by quoting the markets regardless of what they say

• They cause stress to those they are about

• Jackson argues that scandal markets might harm the reputations of prediction markets in general

  • The early assassination markets were by the US Government, these are by a private company.