Will EA split into 2 parties before 2025?

25

Ṁ1kṀ2.5k

resolved Feb 3

Resolved

NO

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@NathanpmYoung please resolve

@mods please resolve NO

filled a Ṁ245 NO at 5% order

@NathanpmYoung Before 2025? Or before EOY 2025?

If one of the parties refuse to call themselves 'EA', how does this resolve?

predictedNO

The AI risk party and the everyone else party?

bought Ṁ1 NO

The correct party and the losers who cannot shut up and multiply.

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Will EA be out of business within 3 years?

Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?

Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030?

The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.

Will any individual reach a total of $1 billion donated to EA aligned charities by the end of 2026?

Will members of the EA community create an EA-focused university by 2030?

Will EA sentiment surrounding SBF trend positive by 2040?

Will there be a fraud/criminal scandal that harms EA reputation as much as the FTX crash harmed EA reputation, before 2030?

Related questions

Will EA be out of business within 3 years?

Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?

Will there be an "EA university" or similar institution by 31 December 2027?

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

Will EA renounce utilitarianism as a guiding principle by the end of 2030?

The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.

Will any individual reach a total of $1 billion donated to EA aligned charities by the end of 2026?

Will members of the EA community create an EA-focused university by 2030?

Will EA sentiment surrounding SBF trend positive by 2040?

Will there be a fraud/criminal scandal that harms EA reputation as much as the FTX crash harmed EA reputation, before 2030?

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