Will EA split into 2 parties before 2025? | Manifold

Will EA split into 2 parties before 2025?

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If one of the parties refuse to call themselves 'EA', how does this resolve?

predictedNO

The AI risk party and the everyone else party?

bought Ṁ1 NO

The correct party and the losers who cannot shut up and multiply.

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Related questions

Will there be another EA billionaire by the end of 2024?

There will be significant bad blood within EA over disagreements about feminism before 2025

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?

The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.

If no other big events happen and there is a big inter-community listening exercise, will EA split into 2 parties before 2025?

Will EA have an out-group-based conflict resolution / 'social ground truth' body before 2025?

Will there be another EA billionaire by the end of 2025?

Will there be an EA organisation that donates >$1M/yr using a democratized mechanism before 2025?

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