How much will Lesswrongers conclude it costs to train GPT-4? More or Less than 20M$
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resolved Apr 17
Resolved
YES

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pckLdSgYWJ38NBFf8/gpt-4?commentId=2mKqGJnf2aTfQMZDq

I will pick the most liked (directionally) comment, calculate the cost, resolve it that way.

(training includes only: data to train and compute to train)

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OK. There is a leaked Morgan Stanley estimate that concludes that the supercomputer built specifically for OAI to train its gpt series costs $225,000,000 (images attached). So the yes side is trivially true.

Concluding it today

predicted NO

@tftftftftftftftftftftftf why isn't this concluded yet?

What if it's exactly 20M?

@xyz Good question. lets cross that bridge when we get to it

Yes means greater than 20M No means less than 20M

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