Which forecasting projects/organizations will be recommended a grant from Open Philanthropy in 2024?
Basic
7
Ṁ210Jan 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
73%
Metaculus
57%
Forecasting Research Institute
50%
Good Judgment Inc.
37%
Manifold
34%
University of Toronto
In February, Open Phil launched an official grantmaking focus area in forecasting.
Who/what will it recommend grants to in 2024?
Any answer will resolve YES to any organization, project, or idea matching (per my judgment) any grant listed on https://www.openphilanthropy.org/grants/?q=&focus-area%5B%5D=forecasting with an award date in 2024.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
@Khazar_Man_From_Turan They were awarded a grant last year: https://www.openphilanthropy.org/grants/university-of-toronto-social-science-prediction-platform
Related questions
Related questions
Will Open Philanthropy extend more grant funding to GCRs & longtermism than Global Health and Wellbeing in 2024?
43% chance
Will Open Philanthropy accept individual grant applications for technical AI safety research? (M1500 subsidy)
49% chance
In 2024, will OpenPhilanthropy post about concrete progress on AI alignment due to one of their grants?
33% chance
What will be the next “Contest” or “Prizes” announced by Open Philanthropy?
Which prediction markets and forecasting platforms will still be opening new markets/questions through 2028?
Will there be a new major longtermist funder before the end of 2024?
23% chance
Which charities will be recommended by Animal Charity Evaluators at the end of 2024?
Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.
23% chance
Across, 2025 will a majority of EA funding rounds have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met?
20% chance
In Jan 2028, will getting opinions from top forecaster be commonplace in non-profit decision making? [Resolves to Poll]
22% chance