18
163
1.2k
resolved Mar 20
Resolved
NO
New Hampshire
Resolved
NO
Virgin Islands
Resolved
NO
Nevada (Caucus)
Resolved
NO
South Carolina
Resolved
NO
South Carolina
Resolved
NO
Michigan (Primary)
Resolved
NO
Michigan (Caucus)
Resolved
NO
Idaho
Resolved
NO
Missouri
Resolved
YES
District of Columbia
Resolved
NO
North Dakota

We’ll be going off of Politico here, but I expect all of the mainstream reporting to be consistent here.

Each state will independently Resolve based on whether Trump has not received >=50% of the vote in the 2024 Republican Presidential Primary election. There will not be rounding here, so 49.9% will Resolve YES, 50.0% will Resolve NO.

More states will be added closer to their primary dates.

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bought Ṁ200 South Carolina NO

Nevada caucus can resolve - these prices were way out of wack.

bought Ṁ250 Virgin Islands NO
New Hampshire
bought Ṁ500

Ruled conclusively above 50%

You’ve got a double negative problem here. Question says “not get 50% of vote.” Your resolution criteria says if he gets 49.9% it will resolve NO. But that’s not getting 50% of vote. So that’s a yes to the question as stated. Can you clarify the ambiguity?

bought Ṁ15 of New Hampshire NO

@GJM thank you for catching this. added additional not’s to the description to match the title.

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