Will Donald Trump get under 78% of the vote in any of these states in the 2024 Republican Primary?
18
119
1.4k
2025
84%
Connecticut
49%
Delaware
5%
New York
4%
Rhode Island
5%
Wisconsin
10%
Wyoming (Caucus)
4%
Pennsylvania
8%
Indiana
24%
Maryland
24%
Nebraska
7%
West Virginia
11%
Kentucky
36%
Oregon
18%
Montana
40%
New Jersey
24%
New Mexico
18%
South Dakota

Each one resolves to YES if Donald Trump gets under 78% of the vote. If he gets 78% or more it resolves as NO and if the primary/caucus is not held or results are not available it will resolve as N/A

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bought Ṁ50 Kansas YES

I think Kansas can probably resolve - mathematically there’s no way for trump to get to 78 if he’s at 75.5 with 99% counted

@simoj I just want official confirmation just in case anything has been misreported thus far. There were some errors with the numbers in some Ohio counties earlier. But yes, I agree with your logic.

@Conflux @Patchy Why are you guys bidding Ohio? Cuyahoga county adds maybe two thousand to the Haley column and the other two with <99% reporting are breaking above 80% for Trump.

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