Resolves YES if by the end of 2023, the New York Times publishes an article that mentions Manifold, otherwise NO.
It must specifically mention Manifold by name in the article text, e.g. a screenshot of Manifold would not count.
It must actually refer to Manifold (this website), e.g. the words "manifold markets" next to each other referring to something else wouldn't count.
Resolution will be based on google search
site:nytimes.com "manifold markets"or if a article meeting the criteria is linked in the comments.
If manifold changes its name, the question will resolve YES if NYT mentions Manifold by either its old or new name.
I hope I'm wrong - I'd love to see Manifold mentioned in the NYT.
Most likely reason is for political coverage in showing prediction market likelihoods for 2024 election. But why not cite PredictIt or another source? And it seems much more likely in 2024 vs 2023.
In general, this feels like a case of Manifolders feeling more important and relevant than we currently are.