Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets? | Manifold

Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

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Ṁ290

2025

44%

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Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.

To count, the article must be substantially about Manifold Markets as a place for prediction markets. As in other contexts, I'll use "33% of the length is actually about Manifold" as a rough threshold, but I reserve the right to adjust if I decide that rule is inappropriate on a case-by-case basis.

I'll not be betting in this market, of course.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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predicts YES

@ScottLawrence Should the close date on this be extended if it hasn't happened yet?

@EvanDaniel yeah I'm extending close dates as I get the emails

predicts YES

@ScottLawrence Sounds good, thanks!

By that name? Does it count if they mention in passing that there is a market about how long Biden will live?

@JimHays doesn't need the word "assassination", but needs to be clearly referencing the moral hazard and opportunity for controversy

@JimHays is someone going to assassinate the president for fictional internet money

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Will the first WaPo article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

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Will the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will a major newspaper cite/reference a Manifold prediction market by the 2024 election?

Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?

Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?

Will a reputable news site or TV channel mention the Manifold pivot, starting from now to 2 months after the pivot?

Should Manifold get rid of Death/Terrorism/War markets?

Will the New York Times create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?