Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive? | Manifold

Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?

News Manifold Manifold Business Future

Basic

23

Ṁ1.8k

2031

44%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Positive (YES): Hype piece, predicted something way ahead, charity donations, etc.

Negative (NO): Person bet up market before making an illegal/immoral action, gambling, etc.

Mainstream news: TV only (podcasts do not count) - CBS, CNN, FOX, NBC, ABC, MSNBC

First mention: from this day forward

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What about neutral — "Prediction site Manifold Markets says that the odds of [event] happening are %x"?

Would someone offhandedly mentioning Manifold in an interview count?

Why TV? Nobody watches linear TV, mostly.

predicts YES

@ClubmasterTransparent Looking for a major news story, not an advertorial in the NYT. That way we'll know it's serious.

Missed that this is only TV news. I was counting on the NYT article...

Does ESPN or similar count as mainstream?

Related questions

If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join?

Which of these Newspapers will publish an article mentioning Manifold before 2024 end?

Will the first WaPo article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will Manifold be prominently featured in a NYT article again before the end of 2024?

When would we have the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post?

Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will a reputable news site or TV channel mention the Manifold pivot, starting from now to 2 months after the pivot?

Will the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

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Related questions

If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join?

Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Which of these Newspapers will publish an article mentioning Manifold before 2024 end?

Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will the first WaPo article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

Will a reputable news site or TV channel mention the Manifold pivot, starting from now to 2 months after the pivot?

Will Manifold be prominently featured in a NYT article again before the end of 2024?

Will the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets?

When would we have the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post?

Will Manifold be mentioned in a mainstream Hollywood movie before 2030?