To be resolved by scientific consensus, as measured by a survey of peer-reviewed papers on June 1, 2024. Papers will be identified by a Google Scholar search for "LK-99 1D superconductivity." If no clear consensus, market resolves to PROB: a weighted average of paper conclusions judged by whether they support a thesis of 1D superconductivity (100%), argue against it (0%), or are neutral (50%), with the weights provided by the 2023 impact factors of the journals they appear in. If no relevant papers have been published, but papers relevant for other LK-99 properties exist, the question resolves NO.

To maintain objectivity in judging, the creator of this market will not trade in it.