Conditional on any room-temp superconductor being replicated before 2025, will the main LK-99 market resolve YES?
16
1kṀ2250resolved Dec 31
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves N/A if no room-temp, ambient-pressure superconductor is discovered and successfully replicated
Main LK-99 market:
https://manifold.markets/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will room-temperature superconductors (such as LK-99) achieve commercial adoption by 2028?
4% chance
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2026?
1% chance
Nobel Prize by 2026 if LK-99 superconductor replicates?
66% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2029?
10% chance
Nobel Prize by 2035 if LK-99 superconductor replicates?
81% chance
Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print ever get replicated?
13% chance
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2039?
52% chance