Resolves YES if credible evidence establishes that LK-99 is a superconductor, and that evidence is sufficient to create a consensus view among physicists.

This does not require the material to be a room temperature, ambient pressure superconductor. A demonstration of superconductivity at any temperature and pressure will be sufficient for a YES resolution.

"Superconducting" means whatever physicists understand it to mean at that time, but is generally is expected to involve vanishing DC resistivity, a phase change, and expulsion of all internal magnetic fields. If LK-99 modifies physicists' view of what superconductivity is about, market resolution will account for these modifications rather than apply the current understanding.

Evidence will ideally be in the form of peer-reviewed studies in reputable scientific journals, but other high-quality evidence may be sufficient. Initial evidence from individual sources is not sufficient to resolve YES, it needs to be enough to create a consensus, so resolution will wait to see replications, and broad commentary from physicists in the field regarding its credibility.

Resolves NO at end of 2024 if no such evidence is forthcoming, though I reserve the right to extend the market close date if it appears that recent serious evidence is under active scrutiny at that time.