[Add options] Who will Manifold think is the best living human? (virtue ethics, deontology, consequentialism)
16
750Ṁ2037
Jan 18
70%
Other
5%
Vitalik Buterin
4%
King Charles III
3%
Jane Fonda
1.5%
Pope Leo XIV
1.5%
Toby Ord
1.3%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1.1%
Bill Gates
1.1%
William MacAskill

After market close, for each ethical philosophy, I will create a poll with all the eligible added market options, asking 'who do you think is the best living human, given [ethical philosophy]?'

Unfortunately, current Manifold polls only allow first-past-the-post voting.

Ranks 1 through 10 will earn 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 points respectively.

An option’s overall score is the sum of the points it receives across all three trait rankings.

The option with the highest overall score will be declared the winner of this market.

Inspired by /AmmonLam/who-is-the-best-living-human-physic-tQn59pSuZt

I will try to make at least one trade on all added options, even if I immediately sell, to provide trader bonuses to incentivise adding options.

  • Update 2025-12-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The three ethical philosophies being polled are:

    • Aristotle (virtue ethics)

    • Kant (deontology)

    • Bentham (consequentialism)

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sold Ṁ0 YES

What happens in the event of ties in the polls? Seems possible that you'll have more options in the poll than people voting. Given FPTP, there could be a lot of ties (including on 0 votes)

reposted

Aristotle topples, Kant can't, Bentham lengthens

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