Will philosophers accept or lean towards deontology once a consensus on normative ethics is reached? | Manifold Markets

closes Jan 1, 2051

Will philosophers accept or lean towards deontology once a consensus on normative ethics is reached?

34%

chance

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1W

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Resolves if PhilPapers or a similarly reputable survey of philosophers reports consistent results that 90% or more (which I will use as consensus) of philosophers surveyed accept or lean towards deontology as the preferred theory of normative ethics.

The market close date will be continuously extended if consensus is not reached.

2020 survey data from the PhilPapers survey for reference:

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