
Carson Gale
closes Jan 1, 2051
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves if PhilPapers or a similarly reputable survey of philosophers reports consistent results that 90% or more (which I will use as consensus) of philosophers surveyed accept or lean towards deontology as the preferred theory of normative ethics.
The market close date will be continuously extended if consensus is not reached.
2020 survey data from the PhilPapers survey for reference:

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What opinion will future language models converge to, on what Einstein would have thought of Many-Worlds?
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Is the universe fully deterministic?

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