Will philosophers accept or lean towards virtue ethics once a consensus on normative ethics is reached?
25
175
470
2051
25%
chance

Resolves if PhilPapers or a similarly reputable survey of philosophers reports consistent results that 90% or more (which I will use as consensus) of philosophers surveyed accept or lean towards virtue ethics as the preferred theory of normative ethics.

The market close date will be continuously extended if consensus is not reached.

2020 survey data from the PhilPapers survey for reference:

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predicts NO