Resolution polls for /TheAllMemeingEye/add-options-who-will-manifold-think :
[Resolution poll, first-past-the-post] Who do you think is the best living human, given virtue ethics?
[Resolution poll, first-past-the-post] Who do you think is the best living human, given deontology?
[Resolution poll, first-past-the-post] Who do you think is the best living human, given consequentialism?
After market close, for each ethical philosophy, I am creating a poll with all the eligible added market options, asking 'who do you think is the best living human, given [ethical philosophy]?'.
At the time of market creation, current Manifold polls only allowed first-past-the-post voting, so I'm sticking to that for market resolution, but may create duplicate polls with ranked choice later to see the difference in results.
Ranks 1 through 10 will earn 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 points respectively.
An option’s overall score is the sum of the points it receives across all three trait rankings.
The option with the highest overall score will be declared the winner of the market.
Vote tie-breaking will use the LM Arena approach of treating all candidates that are tied at a specific level as being at the same highest rank, but with them still taking up slots in the ranking, allowing spillover beyond 10 options e.g.
6 votes, gets 10 points
4 votes, gets 9 points
4 votes, gets 9 points
4 votes, gets 9 points
3 votes, gets 6 points
2 votes, gets 5 points
2 votes, gets 5 points
2 votes, gets 5 points
1 vote, gets 1 point
1 vote, gets 1 point
1 vote, gets 1 point
1 vote, gets 1 point
Ties in final score will lead to equally split percentage resolutions
Inspired by /AmmonLam/who-is-the-best-living-human-physic-tQn59pSuZt
People are also trading
Virtue ethics results:
Pope Leo XIV - 4 votes, gets 10 points
David Attenborough - 4 votes, gets 10 points
Peter Singer - 4 votes, gets 10 points
Scott Alexander - 2 votes, gets 7 points
Dolly Parton - 2 votes, gets 7 points
Donald Trump - 1 vote, gets 5 points
Eliezer Yudkowsky - 1 vote, gets 5 points
Bill Gates - 1 vote, gets 5 points
Dustin Moskovitz - 1 vote, gets 5 points
Dalai Lama - 1 vote, gets 5 points
Greta Thunberg - 1 vote, gets 5 points
Holden Karnofsky - 1 vote, gets 5 points
Malala Yousafzai - 1 vote, gets 5 points
Edward Snowden - 1 vote, gets 5 points
Luigi Mangione @LuigiMangione - 1 vote, gets 5 points
I need to switch religions and start following this "See results" person as my spiritual leader 🙏
@Velaris you may comment the name of a specific other living human if you wish, but ideally they were meant to be added to the market