[Resolution poll, first-past-the-post] Who do you think is the best living human, given deontology?
Donald Trump
Taylor Swift
Mr Beast
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Bill Gates
Dustin Moskovitz
Drew Weissman
Katalin Karikó
Melinda French Gates
MacKenzie Scott
Barack Obama
Cari Tuna
Dario Amodei
Daniela Amodei
Sam Altman
Demis Hassabis
William MacAskill
Sam Bankman-Fried
Dalai Lama
Greta Thunberg
Tu Youyou
Toby Ord
Warren Buffet
Keanu Reeves
Pope Leo XIV
Brian Tomasik
Jane Fonda
Vitalik Buterin
King Charles III
Tim Berners-Lee
Holden Karnofsky
David Attenborough
Peter Singer
Malala Yousafzai
Nadia Murad
Eatizaz Yousif
Scott Alexander
Dolly Parton
Edward Snowden
Paul Graham
Jessica Livingston
Adolfo Pérez Esquivel
Rigoberta Menchú
Elon Musk
Luigi Mangione @LuigiMangione
George W Bush
Jacinda Ardern
Claudia Sheinbaum
Bernie sanders
Alexandria Ocasio Cortez
Beyonce
Geoffrey Hinton
Gabor Mate
See results
See results

Resolution polls for [Add options] Who will Manifold think is the best living human? (virtue ethics, deontology, consequentialism) :

After market close, for each ethical philosophy, I am creating a poll with all the eligible added market options, asking 'who do you think is the best living human, given [ethical philosophy]?'.

At the time of market creation, current Manifold polls only allowed first-past-the-post voting, so I'm sticking to that for market resolution, but may create duplicate polls with ranked choice later to see the difference in results.

Ranks 1 through 10 will earn 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 points respectively.

An option’s overall score is the sum of the points it receives across all three trait rankings.

The option with the highest overall score will be declared the winner of the market.

Vote tie-breaking will use the LM Arena approach of treating all candidates that are tied at a specific level as being at the same highest rank, but with them still taking up slots in the ranking, allowing spillover beyond 10 options e.g.

  1. 6 votes, gets 10 points

  2. 4 votes, gets 9 points

  1. 4 votes, gets 9 points

  1. 4 votes, gets 9 points

  1. 3 votes, gets 6 points

  2. 2 votes, gets 5 points

  1. 2 votes, gets 5 points

  1. 2 votes, gets 5 points

  1. 1 vote, gets 1 point

  1. 1 vote, gets 1 point

  1. 1 vote, gets 1 point

  1. 1 vote, gets 1 point

Ties in final score will lead to equally split percentage resolutions

Inspired by /AmmonLam/who-is-the-best-living-human-physic-tQn59pSuZt

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