Resolution polls for [Add options] Who will Manifold think is the best living human? (virtue ethics, deontology, consequentialism) :
[Resolution poll, first-past-the-post] Who do you think is the best living human, given deontology?
After market close, for each ethical philosophy, I am creating a poll with all the eligible added market options, asking 'who do you think is the best living human, given [ethical philosophy]?'.
At the time of market creation, current Manifold polls only allowed first-past-the-post voting, so I'm sticking to that for market resolution, but may create duplicate polls with ranked choice later to see the difference in results.
Ranks 1 through 10 will earn 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 points respectively.
An option’s overall score is the sum of the points it receives across all three trait rankings.
The option with the highest overall score will be declared the winner of the market.
Vote tie-breaking will use the LM Arena approach of treating all candidates that are tied at a specific level as being at the same highest rank, but with them still taking up slots in the ranking, allowing spillover beyond 10 options e.g.
6 votes, gets 10 points
4 votes, gets 9 points
4 votes, gets 9 points
4 votes, gets 9 points
3 votes, gets 6 points
2 votes, gets 5 points
2 votes, gets 5 points
2 votes, gets 5 points
1 vote, gets 1 point
1 vote, gets 1 point
1 vote, gets 1 point
1 vote, gets 1 point
Ties in final score will lead to equally split percentage resolutions
Inspired by /AmmonLam/who-is-the-best-living-human-physic-tQn59pSuZt
1,000People are also trading
Deontology results:
David Attenborough - 5 votes, gets 10 points
Greta Thunberg - 4 votes, gets 9 points
Peter Singer - 3 votes, gets 8 points
Dalai Lama - 2 votes, gets 7 points
Pope Leo XIV - 2 votes, gets 7 points
Edward Snowden - 2 votes, gets 7 points
Donald Trump - 1 vote, gets 4 points
Eliezer Yudkowsky - 1 vote, gets 4 points
Bill Gates - 1 vote, gets 4 points
Melinda French Gates - 1 vote, gets 4 points
Holden Karnofsky - 1 vote, gets 4 points
Scott Alexander - 1 vote, gets 4 points
@TiredCliche Scheflers paradox!! LOL Who would have guessed I ever use that bit of trivia
My examples are all bad ones
@AnnCummings web search is showing something to do with a golf player being dissatisfied despite winning, is that what you're referencing, or something else?
@TheAllMemeingEye LOL. No. Scheflers paradox has to do with deontology: Essentially, can an action be so far out of moral acceptable that it can't be done, no matter the good that may result!! At least, that is how I take it. I think you made some wonderful selections and I voted above. As the maker, can you see my vote??? -smiles-
@AnnCummings ah cool, thanks for explaining
^-^
Yeah this poll is public so everyone can see everyone else's votes atm (e.g. I see you voted Greta, a pretty good choice, I voted "see results" because I don't feel I understand deontology well enough to distinguish which person is actually best at it)
It is possible to make fully anonymous polls here, but I tend to only do that if the question is one that I think people would avoid answering or be dishonest if it was public
@TheAllMemeingEye Thank you!! I love Greta!! I admire her spunk. "See Results" Good choice too!! I'm sure I used the simplified version- but so glad to see Greta and want to support possibly the youngest person? AOC is young (er) but not quite turned the corner for me.