In 2040, who will Manifold vote as having had the most positive impact on the development of AI in the 21st century?
16
1kṀ10422040
47%
14%
Ilya Sutskever
8%
Dario Amodei
7%
Sam Altman
6%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
5%
Demis Hassabis
4%
Paul Christiano
3%
Geoffrey Hinton
1.6%
Yann LeCun
"Positive" in whatever sense it's interpreted by the individual. Could be capabilities, safety, adoption, whatever.
I'll run the poll in January of 2040.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
66% chance
Will AI wipe out Manifold by 2030?
4% chance
At the beginning of 2040, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
67% chance
Will Manifold stop using AI to make my questions worse by the end of 2025?
48% chance
At the beginning of 2030, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
73% chance
At the beginning of 2029, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
77% chance
At the beginning of 2035, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
73% chance
At the beginning of 2028, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
67% chance
At the beginning of 2025, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
66% chance
An AI is trustworthy-ish on Manifold by 2030?
44% chance